TRACK RECORD
EVERY FORECAST.
RECORDED.
Each call is stored with its timestamp before the market resolves. Once the outcome is known it is scored here — and nothing is edited or removed afterwards.
- 01The call is snapshotted with a timestamp before the outcome is known.
- 02The market venue resolves the question.
- 03We score the call — directional accuracy and Brier score.
- 04Misses stay on the page, permanently.
FORECASTS RECORDED
300
RESOLVED
—
DIRECTIONAL ACCURACY
—
BRIER SCORE
—
Lower is better.
Forecasts are recorded and waiting on their markets to resolve. Accuracy and Brier score stay blank until real outcomes exist.
OPENWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?YES 66% · MKT 67%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?NO 85% · MKT 82%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?NO 69% · MKT 69%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?NO 81% · MKT 81%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?NO 79% · MKT 75%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?NO 67% · MKT 68%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?YES 79% · MKT 81%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENPlague pandemic in 2026?NO 97% · MKT 98%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?NO 63% · MKT 59%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENIsraeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?NO 91% · MKT 91%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?NO 97% · MKT 98%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?YES 97% · MKT 92%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENJosh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5NO 73% · MKT 70%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 22?NO 63% · MKT 66%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENBrandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5NO 97% · MKT 97%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?NO 97% · MKT 94%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?YES 51% · MKT 53%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?NO 97% · MKT 97%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?NO 56% · MKT 62%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22?YES 57% · MKT 57%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 19 2026?NO 87% · MKT 82%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?NO 72% · MKT 72%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 22?NO 92% · MKT 91%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?YES 52% · MKT 50%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?YES 58% · MKT 55%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENCollin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5NO 79% · MKT 76%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENPaolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5NO 57% · MKT 59%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENKeyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5YES 51% · MKT 45%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENExact Margin: TieNO 76% · MKT 73%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENExact Margin: TieNO 76% · MKT 73%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENExact Margin: TieNO 77% · MKT 74%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENExact Margin: TieNO 77% · MKT 74%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENExact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6NO 62% · MKT 59%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?NO 95% · MKT 97%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?NO 53% · MKT 44%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Israel election happen as scheduled?YES 89% · MKT 91%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?YES 89% · MKT 83%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?NO 57% · MKT 56%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?NO 97% · MKT 97%10/21/2026 · v0.2
OPENWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?NO 95% · MKT 97%10/21/2026 · v0.2
SHOWING 40 OF 300
FORECASTS ARE TIMESTAMPED AT RECORDING TIME · OUTCOMES COME FROM THE MARKET VENUE · NOTHING IS BACK-EDITED