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BIGGEST GAPS

Sorted by the size of the gap in percentage points. Calls without enough data behind them are held back rather than shown as strong signals.

LIVEUPDATED 10:10 PM

BIGGEST GAPS

A large gap is a question worth reading, not a recommendation.

156 MARKETS

ECONOMY6d LEFT

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?

VARYNO88%
MARKET81%+7
Market 19 percentVARY 12 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $25K
FULL

We read this 7.2 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)-2.9
  • Market Momentum (24h)-10
  • Market Momentum (7d)-10
ELECTIONS5d LEFT

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

VARYNO61%
MARKET54%+7
Market 46 percentVARY 39 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $22K
FULL

We read this 6.6 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)-10
  • Market Momentum (7d)-10
  • Volume Concentration-2
ELECTIONS13d LEFT

Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

VARYYES97%
MARKET90%+7
Market 90 percentVARY 97 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $13K
FULL

We read this 8.7 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)10
  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration8.9
WEATHER13h LEFT

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 22?

VARYNO56%
MARKET63%−7
Market 37 percentVARY 44 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $3K
FULL

We read this 6.6 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)5
  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration7.1
CRYPTO17h LEFT

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 22?

VARYYES70%
MARKET63%+7
Market 63 percentVARY 70 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $2K
FULL

We read this 6.6 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)3
  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration9
CRYPTO17h LEFT

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 22?

VARYYES51%
MARKET44%+7
Market 44 percentVARY 51 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $1K
FULL

We read this 7.2 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)5
  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration9
ECONOMY13d LEFT

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

VARYNO62%
MARKET56%+6
Market 44 percentVARY 38 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $8K
FULL

We read this 6.5 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)-10
  • Market Momentum (7d)-10
  • Volume Concentration-1.6
WEATHER13h LEFT

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?

VARYYES73%
MARKET67%+6
Market 67 percentVARY 73 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $4K
FULL

We read this 6.2 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)2
  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration8.6
CRYPTO4d LEFT

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 25?

VARYYES70%
MARKET64%+6
Market 64 percentVARY 70 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $3K
FULL

We read this 5.8 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)1
  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration8.2
SPORTS4h LEFT

Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5

VARYYES61%
MARKET55%+6
Market 55 percentVARY 61 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $155
FULL

We read this 6 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)1
  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration9
ELECTIONS13d LEFT

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

VARYYES71%
MARKET66%+5
Market 66 percentVARY 71 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $99K
FULL

We read this 4.7 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)7.7
  • Market Momentum (7d)7.7
  • Volume Concentration0.1
SPORTS0h LEFT

Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?

VARYYES68%
MARKET63%+5
Market 63 percentVARY 68 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $38K
FULL

We read this 5.3 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)2
  • Market Momentum (24h)7.7
  • Market Momentum (7d)7.4
ECONOMY2d LEFT

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?

VARYNO78%
MARKET83%−5
Market 17 percentVARY 22 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $30K
FULL

We read this 4.5 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)4
  • Market Momentum (24h)7.2
  • Market Momentum (7d)2.8
TECH10d LEFT

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

VARYYES65%
MARKET70%−5
Market 70 percentVARY 65 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $24K
FULL

We read this 5.3 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)2.3
  • Market Momentum (24h)-10
  • Market Momentum (7d)-8.1
ELECTIONS6d LEFT

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

VARYYES83%
MARKET88%−5
Market 88 percentVARY 83 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $17K
FULL

We read this 4.8 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)-7.5
  • Market Momentum (24h)-4.6
  • Market Momentum (7d)-2.5
ELECTIONS3d LEFT

Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?

VARYNO93%
MARKET88%+5
Market 12 percentVARY 7 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $8K
FULL

We read this 5.1 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)-10
  • Market Momentum (7d)-4.9
  • Volume Concentration-2.1
WEATHER13h LEFT

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 22?

VARYYES60%
MARKET55%+5
Market 55 percentVARY 60 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $2K
FULL

We read this 4.8 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)10
  • Volume Concentration5.9
WEATHER13h LEFT

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?

VARYYES57%
MARKET52%+5
Market 52 percentVARY 57 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $2K
FULL

We read this 4.8 points higher than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)8.8
  • Volume Concentration7.3
ECONOMY7d LEFT

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

VARYNO91%
MARKET87%+4
Market 13 percentVARY 9 percent
HIGHHIGH confidence24H $629K
FULL

We read this 3.7 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)-1.1
  • Market Momentum (7d)-8.8
  • Volume Concentration-2.4
SPORTS5d LEFT

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

VARYNO87%
MARKET83%+4
Market 17 percentVARY 13 percent
HIGHHIGH confidence24H $138K
FULL

We read this 4.4 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)-2
  • Market Momentum (24h)-2.6
  • Market Momentum (7d)-7.2
ELECTIONS13d LEFT

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

VARYNO69%
MARKET65%+4
Market 35 percentVARY 31 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $27K
FULL

We read this 4.4 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)2
  • Market Momentum (24h)-7.7
  • Market Momentum (7d)-7.1
ELECTIONS13d LEFT

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

VARYNO73%
MARKET69%+4
Market 31 percentVARY 27 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $24K
FULL

We read this 4 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (24h)-6.6
  • Market Momentum (7d)-4.4
  • Volume Concentration-2.5
ECONOMY10d LEFT

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

VARYNO96%
MARKET92%+4
Market 8 percentVARY 4 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $20K
FULL

We read this 3.9 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)0.1
  • Market Momentum (24h)-7.9
  • Market Momentum (7d)-3.8
ELECTIONS13d LEFT

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

VARYYES64%
MARKET68%−4
Market 68 percentVARY 64 percent
MEDIUMMEDIUM confidence24H $20K
FULL

We read this 4.1 points lower than the market, based on market structure.

  • Market Momentum (1h)-2.1
  • Market Momentum (24h)-3.4
  • Market Momentum (7d)-5.8
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